VENEZUELA
Chávez seen as U.S. threat
A Pentagon planning report cited
growing security concerns over Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez's
populism.
BY PABLO BACHELET
pbachelet@MiamiHerald.com
WASHINGTON
- A new Pentagon long-term planning document mentions
Venezuela as a concern, reflecting a mounting sense that
President Hugo Chávez's fiery populism poses a challenge to
U.S. security.
The 2005 Quadrennial Defense Review says poor income
distribution and weak democratic institutions have led to a
``resurgence of populist authoritarian political movements in
some countries, such as Venezuela.''
''These movements . . . are a source of political and
economic instability,'' added the QDR, issued last week. It
comes out every four years.
Venezuela's mention in the QDR was unusual because the
document typically discusses broad trends and seldom mentions
individual countries. Cuba, for example, was not mentioned. The
2001 QDR did not mention any Latin American country.
INCREASING VITRIOL
The QDR's reference to Venezuela was the latest in a steady
drumbeat of U.S. statements criticizing the leftist Chávez as
an increasingly authoritarian leader, a buyer of massive new
weaponry and exporter of an aggressive brand of populism that
could destabilize Latin America.
Earlier this week, the Director of National Intelligence John
Negroponte said Venezuela posed the most serious threat to U.S.
interests in Latin America and was seeking closer ties with
North Korea and Iran -- both accused of having or seeking
nuclear weapons. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld compared Chávez
to the also democratically elected Adolf Hitler.
Ryan Henry, the Deputy Undersecretary of Defense for Policy,
asked later by a reporter about the Venezuela reference in the
QDR, said ``we do view with concern what's happened in
Venezuela, we think that that's going in the wrong direction.''
In November, defense analyst William Arkin reported in his
Washington Post blog that a Pentagon budget planning document,
known as FY08-13 POM and dated in October, had listed Venezuela
as a ''rogue nation'' along with Syria. Pentagon officials
confirmed the document' existence to The Miami Herald, but
denied it represented an official policy view of Caracas.
Venezuela's ambassador to Washington, Bernardo Alvarez, says
his country is only promoting alternatives to the Bush agenda of
development for Latin America. ''We are not a threat to the
national interest of the United States,'' he told a group of
journalists Thursday.
Chávez has repeatedly alleged that the Bush administration
supported a 2002 coup attempt against him and is now plotting to
either assassinate him or invade his oil-rich country. Late last
month he alleged that Washington was considering declaring
Venezuela a state sponsor of terrorism, but gave no details.
Washington has just as repeatedly denied all the charges.
The Bush administration has been wary of the populist leader
for some time. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has voiced
her concern that governments elected democratically may then
govern undemocratically.
POPULISM WILL GROW
''It is a greater threat than if you're dealing with an
illegitimate authoritarian regime,'' said Steve C. Ropp, a Latin
American and national security specialist at the University of
Wyoming. As a visiting scholar at the U.S. Army War College, he
wrote a paper circulating in the Bush administration, The
Strategic Implications of the Rise of Populism in Europe and
South America.
The paradox, he added, is that such populist challenges are
likely to get worse as more countries become democracies and
elect leaders that offer quick-fix solutions for income
inequality and corruption, and blame Washington's policies for
their troubles.
In the QDR, Venezuela is mentioned in a section titled
''shaping the choices of countries at strategic crossroads,''
which argues that major and emerging powers will affect the
future strategic position of Washington and its friends.
''The United States will attempt to shape these choices in
ways that foster cooperation and mutual security interests,''
the QDR says. ``At the same time, the United States, its allies
and partners must also hedge against the possibility that a
major or emerging power could choose a hostile path in the
future.''
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